We’ve scanned over all the bookies odds to see how they think we will fair over the coming season.
We’ve collected odds from up to 20 bookmakers and highlighted the average, highs and lows. All odds are courtesy of oddscomparison.co.uk and were correct as of 10:00 on Friday 17th August 2012.
Nobody outside of Turf Moor has ever given us so much as a glimmer of hope in their pre-season odds and predictions – and this year is no exception. A couple of tabloids had us down to finish rock-bottom at the start of our 2008/09 promotion season and I suspect nobody had us close from the bottom three.
This year isn’t quite that bad, as far as the bookies are concerned. At 10.86 we’re 17th favourites to return to the Premier League. BetVictor and Boylesports offer the biggest odds at 13, whilst 32Red have more confidence in Eddie Howe and a Burnley team looking more and more like his own at 8.6. Our odds are growing throughout the board.
Owen Coyle’s Bolton are unsurprising favourites for an instant return to the top-flight at 3.25, Leicester second at 3.3 and Blackburn’s odds of 4.5 are fifth best. Barnsley are the outsiders at 58.56 – but their odds have massive range from 81 at Victor right down to 26 with Paddy Power.
Burnley average: 10.86 (17th)
Burnley low: 8.6 (32Red)
Burnley high: 13 (BetVictor, Boyle)
Favourite: Bolton 3.3
Outsider: Barnsley 58.56
It gets slightly better on the relegation front – by two places, the bookies reckon Watford and Charlton have more chance of relegation and have given us an average of 7.48.
Barnsley (2.3), Peterborough (2.75) and Crystal Palace (3.75) are in the biggest danger, say the oddsmakers – but Bristol City, Millwall, Huddersfield and Derby should be looking over their shoulders. Bolton slip a little at the other end – Wolves and Leicester are thought safer than the Trotters, who at 36 are third outsiders for the drop.
Burnley average: 7.4 (10th)
Burnley low: 5.5 (Ladbrokes)
Burnley high: 8 (Multiple)
Favourite: Barnsley 2.3
Outsider: Wolves 39.6
Eddie Howe’s firepower looks promising this season – Charlie Austin, Sam Vokes and Martin Paterson are all proven scorers at this level and Danny Ings has shown massive promise once he recovers from his latest injury setback.
The bookies aren’t so sure. Although they have faith in Austin – he’s seventh favourite to top the goal charts at 21.7 – but that’s more than double any of his team-mates.
Bizarrely, the bookmakers have 40 odd players ahead of Sam Vokes (45.7) and Martin Paterson (70). Vokes has proved most divisive – his odds range from 34 to 81 as the oddsmakers are split over his potential impact. Danny Ings is sat in the middle with odds of 68.6 but will miss most of the season with injury.
Jordan Rhodes has the shortest odds at 16.5 and among those between him and Charlie is ex-Claret Steven Fletcher (17.3).
Charlie Austin average: 21.7
Martin Paterson average: 70
Sam Vokes average: 45.7
Danny Ings average: 68.6
Clarets high: 21 - Charlie Austin (Multiple)
Clarets low: 81 – Paterson (Bet365), Vokes (BetFred, ToteSport)
Stan James are the only vendor offering a market for first manager to leave his post, either through resignation, dismissal or being poached by a bigger club – and they have a couple of surprises in store.
With odds of 8 our very own Eddie Howe is reckoned third most likely to leave first – ahead of only Paul Jewell of Ipswich at 3.5 and Sir Steve of India second at 4.
Gianfranco Zola, who has done nothing to suggest he has what it takes to succeed as a manager, is the least likely to leave his new post at Watford at 25 and Owen Coyle is middle of the pack at 16.
Paul Jewell (Ipswich)
Steve Kean (Blackburn)
Eddie Howe (Burnley)
Darren Ferguson (Peterborough)
Nigel Pearson (Leicester City)
Gianfranco Zola (Watford)
Tony Mowbray (Middlesbrough)
Steve Bruce (Hull City)
Simon Grayson (Huddersfield Town)
Sean O’Driscoll (Nottm Forest)
Burnley v Bolton
Burnley kick off the campaign on Saturday against Bolton – and although it’s pretty close the bookies expect Owen Coyle to get revenge for his Bolton side’s Turf Moor cup defeat in 2010.
Bolton are 2.38 favourites to Burnley’s 2.86 – with odds of 3.75 for a draw. Paddy Power are still offering healthy odds of 7 for Danny Ings to be first goalscorer – get your money on that readers!
Burnley average: 2.87
Bolton average: 2.4
Draw average: 3.4
Low: 2.3 – Bolton (888Sport)
High: 3.5 – Draw (BetVictor)
Charlie Austin 6.75
David N’Gog 7.25
Marvin Sordell 7.25
Benik Afobe 7.5
Kevin Davies 7.75
Are these odds fair, harsh or flattering for us? Comment below.